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When was the last time you measured your waistline? If you assume that BMI is the only number to focus on when it comes to your health, think twice. New research has revealed a shocking revelation—your waist circumference might be a far better predictor of men's cancer risk than BMI.
The study finds that for each 4-inch increase in waist size, a man's risk of cancer increases by a staggering 25%. Meanwhile, BMI, commonly regarded as the gold standard for assessing obesity, raises cancer risk by only 19% for the same weight gain. So, if you've been dismissing that pesky belly fat, it's time to take notice.
But why is your waistline so important? The reason is visceral fat—the hidden, deep fat that accumulates around your organs. Unlike other body fat, visceral fat is a stealthy troublemaker, causing inflammation, insulin resistance, and abnormal blood fat levels—all of which combine to create a cancer-perfect storm.
Obesity has been associated with an increased risk of numerous health conditions, including cancer, for decades. The research, though, indicates that a specific measure of the body—waist circumference—may be an even more reliable forecaster of cancer risk in men than the more frequently employed Body Mass Index (BMI). This finding emphasizes the need to pay particular attention to the distribution of fat and not merely to the weight of the body.
BMI has been the go-to measure for years for gauging health risks related to obesity. New research, though, that appears in The Journal of the National Cancer Institute indicates that waist measurement is a better predictor of cancer risk in men. According to the research, four more inches (10 cm) around the waist will add 25% to a man's cancer risk. Conversely, a 3.7 kg/m² rise in BMI (from a BMI of 24 to 27.7) increased cancer risk by only 19%.
Why is waist circumference a better predictor, then? Unlike BMI, which measures weight relative to height, waist circumference actually measures abdominal fat—specifically, visceral fat. This type of fat encircles internal organs and is also linked to higher levels of inflammation, insulin resistance, and abnormal blood lipids, all of which are factors in cancer growth. BMI, however, does not measure fat distribution, so two individuals with the same BMI can have very different levels of health risk depending on where fat is deposited on their bodies.
Interestingly, the research identified a significant difference between men and women when it came to waist circumference and cancer risk. Although waist circumference and BMI were linked with obesity-related cancers in women, the relationship was weaker than for men. An increase of 12 cm (4.7 inches) in waist size or a 4.3 rise in BMI (from 24 to 28.3) raised the cancer risk in women by just 13%—a much lower percentage than for men.
Experts credit this difference to the way that fat is stored in the body. Men are more likely to carry fat around the abdomen, especially as visceral fat, which is more metabolically active and associated with cancer-producing biological alterations. Women, by contrast, store fat in peripheral sites such as the hips and thighs, where it is less likely to drive systemic inflammation and metabolic disturbances.
A possible reason is that men tend to depot fat more in the visceral regions, whereas women tend to carry more subcutaneous and peripheral fat," wrote the researchers. "This may render waist circumference a more robust risk factor for cancer in men and account for why waist circumference provides additional risk information beyond BMI in men but not women."
The research used the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) data to define obesity-related cancers. These cancers are esophageal (adenocarcinoma), gastric (cardia), colorectal, rectal, liver, gallbladder, pancreatic, renal, and thyroid cancers, and multiple myeloma and meningioma. In men, abdominal obesity is especially significant in raising the risk of these cancers through high levels of insulin and markers of inflammation.
For women, the research proposes that both waist circumference and hip circumference may give a more accurate estimate of visceral fat and cancer risk. "Adding hip circumference to risk models could strengthen the link between waist circumference and cancer, especially in women," researchers observed.
With these results, doctors advise men to be more mindful of their waistline than only their BMI. Waist size is an easy method to gauge health risk, and its maintenance through lifestyle changes might be the key to cancer prevention.
Track Your Waist Size: Regularly measure your waist circumference and try to keep it in a healthy range (below 40 inches for men, according to medical advice).
Eat a Balanced Diet: A diet containing high fiber, lean protein, and healthy fats can assist in limiting visceral fat gain.
Exercise Consistently: Regular exercise with a combination of aerobic and strength training will help maintain a healthy waistline.
Control Stress and Sleep: Persistent stress and inadequate sleep tend to cause weight gain, especially in the midsection of the body.
Regular Health Screenings: Early identification of cancer risk factors through regular screening can greatly enhance long-term health status.
Credit: Susan Kroll
NBC News producer Susan Kroll, 58, initially attributed her occasional difficulty remembering words to menopause-related brain fog. However, tests revealed an elevated genetic risk of Alzheimer’s disease and abnormal amyloid levels in her brain.
Her journey began when she sought a diagnosis for her mother, who had started experiencing memory problems at 75. While helping her mother, Kroll decided to investigate her own risk after learning that Alzheimer’s risk can be genetic, she wrote on Today.com.
Testing showed that Kroll’s mother carried two copies of a gene called APOE4. Everyone inherits one APOE gene from each parent. The three common variants are APOE2, which may reduce Alzheimer’s risk; APOE3, the most common variant, which has a neutral effect; and APOE4, which increases the risk.
According to the Mayo Clinic, people with two copies of APOE4 are eight to 12 times more likely to develop Alzheimer’s.
To understand her own risk, Kroll took a cheek-swab genetic test in October 2024.
"I had an APOE4 and APOE3 gene, making me two to three times more likely to develop Alzheimer’s. I was a bit relieved," Kroll wrote.
Also read: Normal Ageing or Alzheimer's? Doctors Explain Six Key Differences to Watch For
In May 2025, Kroll took a blood test developed to help diagnose Alzheimer’s disease, which had recently been cleared by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA).
The test measures certain proteins, including a specific form of tau, that can indicate the presence of amyloid plaques in the brain. These protein deposits are considered a hallmark of Alzheimer’s disease.
Kroll said her "results were well outside the normal range". She had also noticed occasional difficulty remembering words, which she had initially attributed to menopause-related brain fog.
She was given personalised recommendations covering diet, exercise, supplements and sleep.
Kroll made several changes to her daily routine.
"I cut out artificial sweeteners and limited fried and processed foods, red meat, cheese, sweets and alcohol. Every day, I started eating leafy greens, whole grains, veggies and fruit, and every week multiple servings of fish, walnuts, almonds, avocado and berries."
She also intensified her workouts, doing 45–60 minutes of cardio three to four days a week, alongside strength training. She focused on three muscle groups, completing three sets of each exercise with eight to 10 repetitions. She also started going to bed earlier.
Read More: India Gets Its First Alzheimer’s Drug: Know All About Eli Lilly’s Lormalzi
In December 2025, Kroll began treatment with Kisunla, an anti-amyloid infusion approved by the FDA in 2024.
A previous brain scan had shown elevated amyloid levels in every quadrant of her brain. Clinical trials have shown that Kisunla can slow cognitive and functional decline in eligible patients.
After six infusions, Kroll underwent another brain scan in May 2026 to assess her progress.
Her amyloid score dropped from 86 to four. The radiologist noted, "The amyloid issue has resolved."
Further blood tests showed that her tau levels were normal. Kroll suggested that her dietary changes may have contributed to this result.
Kroll currently has neither Alzheimer’s disease nor mild cognitive impairment. However, she continues to have positive biomarkers and an elevated genetic risk. She believes the "early interventions helped slow down or potentially stop the progression of changes years before they could worsen".
Her journey is far from over. She continues to receive care at the Alzheimer’s Prevention Clinic, where her blood and biomarkers are monitored monthly.
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Obesity drugs such as semaglutide and tirzepatide may offer benefits beyond weight loss and blood sugar control. Researchers say these medicines could also help protect brain function, including memory and other cognitive abilities.
Researchers from the University of Gothenburg and the University of Copenhagen examined evidence on how these drugs affect the brain and their potential to inform treatments aimed at preserving cognitive function. The review was published in the journal Science.
Semaglutide and tirzepatide belong to a class of medicines that act on metabolic pathways involved in appetite and blood sugar regulation. They may also influence biological processes important for brain function.
Animal studies suggest that GLP-1 drugs can affect learning and memory. However, findings from human studies have been mixed.
Studies analysing patient records have linked GLP-1 treatment to a lower risk of dementia among people with type 2 diabetes. However, these findings do not establish whether the medicines themselves are responsible for the reduced risk.
The potential benefits of these drugs have also been examined in people with Alzheimer's disease.
In Novo Nordisk's EVOKE and EVOKE+ clinical trials, semaglutide did not slow disease progression in patients with early Alzheimer's disease, despite producing changes in several biological markers associated with the condition.
However, researchers say these findings do not rule out potential benefits in other groups of patients.
People with obesity or type 2 diabetes may experience difficulties with attention, planning and processing speed. These cognitive problems are often associated with metabolic and vascular health, making them potential targets for treatment.
Stina Börchers, first author of the review and a researcher affiliated with the University of Gothenburg and the University of Copenhagen, said it is important to establish whether these treatments can help preserve cognitive abilities, particularly when started before problems become established.
“We need to find out whether these treatments can help people with obesity or diabetes preserve their cognitive abilities, particularly if treatment begins before cognitive problems become established,” Börchers said.
Researchers are trying to understand whether the potential effects of obesity medicines on the brain result from improved metabolism, direct action on the brain, or a combination of both.
Christoffer Clemmensen, senior author of the review and research group leader at the University of Copenhagen, said advances in obesity medicines offer new opportunities to understand how metabolic regulation influences brain function.
“By disentangling the direct and indirect effects of these drugs on the brain, we may ultimately be able to develop treatments specifically aimed at preserving cognitive function,” Clemmensen said.
The researchers are calling for clinical trials that assess memory and other cognitive abilities from the beginning of treatment.
They also stress the need to monitor older and frail patients. Rapid weight loss and loss of muscle mass could affect physical function and potentially reduce the benefits of treatment in these groups.
For now, whether obesity drugs can help preserve cognitive function remains an important research question. More clinical evidence is needed before they can be considered treatments for protecting brain health.
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For 25-year-old Kaela Knight, a nail artist from Colorado, taking tirzepatide, the active ingredient in Eli Lilly's Mounjaro and Zepbound, brought an unusual side effect: skin so sensitive that even a light touch hurt.
Knight started treatment in September 2024 at 210 pounds and eventually reached 125 pounds. But during her second month, as her dose increased from 2.5 mg to 5 mg, she began experiencing burning sensations.
"I always describe it as feeling like a sunburn without any visible redness or irritation," she told the Daily Mail.
The sensation affected her hips, forearms and neck. Episodes lasted 24–48 hours, although some persisted for about a week.
Other patients taking Novo Nordisk's Ozempic and also Mounjaro have reported similar experiences.
Known as allodynia, this nerve-pain condition makes normally harmless sensations, such as clothing brushing against the skin or a light touch, painful. Patients describe it as a sunburn without visible redness or irritation.
Although it is not an established side effect of Ozempic, Wegovy, Mounjaro or Zepbound, medical reports have documented similar symptoms. A direct link remains unproven.
"I have [areas] all over that are burning. It's driving me nuts," one Reddit user wrote. Another said painkillers and lidocaine gels offered little relief.
Some patients report improvement after reducing their dose or stopping treatment.
Also read: Ozempic Hair: GLP-1 Drug Use Linked To 7% Higher Baldness Risk In Men
Semaglutide, used in Ozempic and Wegovy, mimics the GLP-1 hormone. Tirzepatide, used in Mounjaro and Zepbound, targets GLP-1 and GIP receptors.
Dr Richard Siegel, an endocrinologist at Tufts Medicine, told the Daily Mail that these drugs could potentially affect nerve signalling through the brain and spinal cord.
Another theory involves changes in the fat layer beneath the skin during weight loss, which could affect nerve sensitivity. Neither explanation has been proven.
An October 2025 report documented two cases:
Some patients report improvement over time or after reducing their dose.
Dr Siegel said symptoms can last days to weeks, potentially becoming less noticeable as the body adjusts to treatment, much like nausea and constipation.
"It's possible something similar is happening here, where temporary changes in receptor activity alter nerve signaling at first, but become less noticeable as the body adjusts," he said.
Read More: Stopping Ozempic, Wegovy, Mounjaro Linked To 22% Higher Heart Attack, Stroke Risk: Study
Clinical trials have also recorded dysesthesia, a broader category of abnormal sensations, including burning and tingling. It is not necessarily the same as allodynia.
In a high-dose oral semaglutide trial, dysesthesia occurred in fewer than 3% of 334 participants, compared with none receiving placebo.
Phase 3 trials of retatrutide, an experimental drug targeting GLP-1, GIP and glucagon receptors, reported:
Risk factors remain unclear. Dr Siegel believes higher doses could play a role.
"As best as I can tell, it would mostly be people on higher doses of these medications," he said.
He also suggested that people with greater pain sensitivity, including those with fibromyalgia, might be more susceptible.
Patients experiencing unusual skin burning or sensitivity should consult their doctor. Dose adjustments or alternative treatments may be considered, but medication should not be changed or stopped without medical advice.
Allodynia can also occur with shingles, migraines and nerve damage, so symptoms should not automatically be attributed to weight-loss drugs.
Dr Siegel recommends recording when symptoms occur, where they appear and what makes them better or worse.
Persistent or worsening pain should be medically evaluated.
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