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When was the last time you measured your waistline? If you assume that BMI is the only number to focus on when it comes to your health, think twice. New research has revealed a shocking revelation—your waist circumference might be a far better predictor of men's cancer risk than BMI.
The study finds that for each 4-inch increase in waist size, a man's risk of cancer increases by a staggering 25%. Meanwhile, BMI, commonly regarded as the gold standard for assessing obesity, raises cancer risk by only 19% for the same weight gain. So, if you've been dismissing that pesky belly fat, it's time to take notice.
But why is your waistline so important? The reason is visceral fat—the hidden, deep fat that accumulates around your organs. Unlike other body fat, visceral fat is a stealthy troublemaker, causing inflammation, insulin resistance, and abnormal blood fat levels—all of which combine to create a cancer-perfect storm.
Obesity has been associated with an increased risk of numerous health conditions, including cancer, for decades. The research, though, indicates that a specific measure of the body—waist circumference—may be an even more reliable forecaster of cancer risk in men than the more frequently employed Body Mass Index (BMI). This finding emphasizes the need to pay particular attention to the distribution of fat and not merely to the weight of the body.
BMI has been the go-to measure for years for gauging health risks related to obesity. New research, though, that appears in The Journal of the National Cancer Institute indicates that waist measurement is a better predictor of cancer risk in men. According to the research, four more inches (10 cm) around the waist will add 25% to a man's cancer risk. Conversely, a 3.7 kg/m² rise in BMI (from a BMI of 24 to 27.7) increased cancer risk by only 19%.
Why is waist circumference a better predictor, then? Unlike BMI, which measures weight relative to height, waist circumference actually measures abdominal fat—specifically, visceral fat. This type of fat encircles internal organs and is also linked to higher levels of inflammation, insulin resistance, and abnormal blood lipids, all of which are factors in cancer growth. BMI, however, does not measure fat distribution, so two individuals with the same BMI can have very different levels of health risk depending on where fat is deposited on their bodies.
Interestingly, the research identified a significant difference between men and women when it came to waist circumference and cancer risk. Although waist circumference and BMI were linked with obesity-related cancers in women, the relationship was weaker than for men. An increase of 12 cm (4.7 inches) in waist size or a 4.3 rise in BMI (from 24 to 28.3) raised the cancer risk in women by just 13%—a much lower percentage than for men.
Experts credit this difference to the way that fat is stored in the body. Men are more likely to carry fat around the abdomen, especially as visceral fat, which is more metabolically active and associated with cancer-producing biological alterations. Women, by contrast, store fat in peripheral sites such as the hips and thighs, where it is less likely to drive systemic inflammation and metabolic disturbances.
A possible reason is that men tend to depot fat more in the visceral regions, whereas women tend to carry more subcutaneous and peripheral fat," wrote the researchers. "This may render waist circumference a more robust risk factor for cancer in men and account for why waist circumference provides additional risk information beyond BMI in men but not women."
The research used the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) data to define obesity-related cancers. These cancers are esophageal (adenocarcinoma), gastric (cardia), colorectal, rectal, liver, gallbladder, pancreatic, renal, and thyroid cancers, and multiple myeloma and meningioma. In men, abdominal obesity is especially significant in raising the risk of these cancers through high levels of insulin and markers of inflammation.
For women, the research proposes that both waist circumference and hip circumference may give a more accurate estimate of visceral fat and cancer risk. "Adding hip circumference to risk models could strengthen the link between waist circumference and cancer, especially in women," researchers observed.
With these results, doctors advise men to be more mindful of their waistline than only their BMI. Waist size is an easy method to gauge health risk, and its maintenance through lifestyle changes might be the key to cancer prevention.
Track Your Waist Size: Regularly measure your waist circumference and try to keep it in a healthy range (below 40 inches for men, according to medical advice).
Eat a Balanced Diet: A diet containing high fiber, lean protein, and healthy fats can assist in limiting visceral fat gain.
Exercise Consistently: Regular exercise with a combination of aerobic and strength training will help maintain a healthy waistline.
Control Stress and Sleep: Persistent stress and inadequate sleep tend to cause weight gain, especially in the midsection of the body.
Regular Health Screenings: Early identification of cancer risk factors through regular screening can greatly enhance long-term health status.
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The discrepancy between Pennsylvania’s reported measles-associated deaths and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s national tally sparked a political and public-health controversy.
In an exclusive interview with HealthandMe, Dr Paul Offit, paediatrician and director of the Vaccine Education Center at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and former member of the CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, accused US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. of adopting a “see-no-evil approach” to the outbreak.
He criticised the Trump administration’s handling of measles deaths, the proposal to split the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine, and a new federal initiative to expand vaccine-injury reporting.
Pennsylvania reported six measles-associated deaths, according to its Department of Health. The CDC, meanwhile, had confirmed two deaths.
The figures have become the focus of a dispute over how deaths among measles patients should be classified and included in government data.
During the interview, Offit spoke about the discrepancy between Pennsylvania’s report of six deaths and CDC’s count of two. “These are measles-related deaths,” he said, arguing that measles had contributed to the deaths reported by the state.
“Had these children or adults not had measles, in the case of the one-day-old and few-month-old, they would have never died,” Offit said.
He accused Kennedy of refusing to acknowledge the state’s report and said the federal government’s approach risked obscuring the seriousness of the outbreak.
“This is just Robert F. Kennedy Jr. refusing to acknowledge the fact that he is an excellent anti-vaccine activist,” Offit said.
The disagreement involves more than a difference in numbers. Pennsylvania health officials count deaths that meet the state’s epidemiological definition of measles-associated fatalities.
The federal government has moved towards requiring confirmation through the National Center for Health Statistics. It now considers the fact that measles is listed as the underlying cause of death before including a fatality in its tally. This process can take longer than state reporting.
A death occurring in someone with measles does not automatically establish that the infection caused the death. However, measles can lead to serious complications, including pneumonia and brain inflammation, which can be fatal.
Also read: Sixth Measles-Associated Death Reported In Pennsylvania As Cases Cross 1,100
Offit said the reported number of measles cases in Pennsylvania could substantially underestimate the actual scale of transmission. “You can assume that's off by a factor of at least five. I think there's between 5,000 and 10,000 cases of measles in our state,” he said during the interview.
Pennsylvania’s Department of Health reported 1,260 confirmed cases across 42 counties as of October 16, alongside 225 hospitalisations. “So this is the tip of a much, much bigger iceberg,” Offit said.
He also highlighted the risk among adults who may neither have acquired immunity through previous infection nor received vaccination.
“The thing that strikes me about measles right now is it's an adult disease,” he said, pointing to people in their 20s, 30s and 40s who may remain susceptible.
Offit argued that the resurgence should be attributed to failure to vaccinate rather than a failure of the vaccine itself. “Certainly not a vaccine failure. The vaccine doesn't work if you don't get it,” he said.
While addressing the measles crisis in the United States, Offit also addressed President Donald Trump’s proposal to separate the combined MMR vaccine into three individual shots.
The MMR vaccine has been used for decades. Trump’s executive order to split the vaccine had revived a debate that the combined vaccine causes autism, which has been discredited.
He referred to research conducted over several decades that has not established a causal link between MMR vaccination and autism. “There was the MMR vaccine in 1971. So we've had 50 plus years of the MMR vaccine,” he said.
Offit argued that separating the vaccines would increase the number of injections children receive without providing an established benefit.
“There's no reason to do it. Just makes it more expensive, less available, and has a longer period of time when children aren't getting vaccines,” he said. “And they get six shots instead of two for no benefit.”
He also said the proposal had made parents more skeptical about vaccination.
The debate sparked concerns as delaying vaccination can leave children susceptible to measles during the period before they receive protection. Any changes to vaccine schedules or formulations need to be assessed against evidence of safety, effectiveness and practical consequences for vaccine access.
Offit also criticised Kennedy’s initiative to expand research into vaccine injuries and improve reporting through the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS).
Announced by the US Department of Health and Human Services in October, the initiative includes a new National Institutes of Health clinic, plans to record vaccine-related adverse events in electronic health records, modernisation of VAERS and a proposal to reimburse doctors for reporting suspected vaccine injuries.
When asked if the initiative was a useful step towards vaccine safety monitoring, Offit replied: “Not in his hands.”
He alleged that the information collected under the programme could be misrepresented to support claims linking vaccines to chronic diseases, including autism, diabetes and multiple sclerosis.
Offit also questioned whether the existing reporting system was being misunderstood. He said that "we did a pretty good job" establishing the existing vaccine injury reporting system.
He further described VAERS as a “noisy warning system”, explaining that reports can help identify adverse events but cannot establish that a vaccine caused a reported health problem.
The CDC says VAERS accepts reports of health problems after vaccination even when the person reporting them is unsure whether the vaccine caused the event.
Offit cited the example of the RotaShield rotavirus vaccine to illustrate how safety signals should be investigated. Reports of a possible serious adverse event prompted further study, which helped establish a link and led to the vaccine’s withdrawal.
His did not say that vaccine safety should go unexamined, but that reports must be investigated using reliable scientific methods.
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When Andrea de Armas was diagnosed with breast cancer at 26, she was preparing for a future that looked very different from the one she was suddenly handed.
Along with surgery and chemotherapy, she had to make decisions about her fertility and adjust to the of long-term consequences from treatment.
Now 30 and cancer-free, the US woman is still taking hormone therapy. The treatment has put her into temporary menopause.
“I’m really lucky. I feel like I’m doing OK,” de Armas told CBS News. “It took me a little bit to kind of adjust. It wasn’t immediate; it took time. It took understanding the kind of changes my body was going through. But I’m able to live a pretty normal life for a 30-year-old.”
Andrea’s experience highlights a revealing challenge of breast cancer in younger women. Young women who survive breast cancer face a series of emotionally heavy decisions about menstrual cycles, fertility, sexual health and emotional well-being, and menopause that comes decades earlier than expected.
De Armas initially struggled to get her concerns taken seriously. She was eventually diagnosed with breast cancer in 2023 and discovered that she carried a genetic mutation associated with an increased risk of the disease.
She underwent a lumpectomy in June, followed by chemotherapy. She later had a bilateral mastectomy and reconstruction, scheduling treatment around her studies so she could continue her physician assistant programme.
“We worked together as a team,” said Dr. Cristina Lopez-Penalver, the surgical oncologist at Baptist Health's Herbert Wertheim Cancer Institute who treated her. “She was really not about ready to let this breast cancer get in her way.”
De Armas graduated as a physician assistant in 2025 and began working a month later. However, despite completing surgery and chemotherapy, she continues to take hormone therapy because of the characteristics of her cancer.
That medication has placed her in temporary menopause, a treatment-related effect that can be particularly difficult for younger women to navigate.
Also read: Breast Cancer: Know the Risks, Recognise the Signs & Get Checked
Menopause occurs when the ovaries stop releasing eggs and producing lower levels of hormones, particularly oestrogen.
Although natural menopause usually occurs in the late 40s or early 50s, some cancer treatments can bring on menopause much earlier.
According to the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), chemotherapy can damage the ovaries, causing periods to become irregular or stop altogether.
Hormone therapy can also block oestrogen's effects to help prevent hormone-sensitive breast cancer from returning.
Some women experience temporary ovarian suppression, in which medication switches off ovarian function during treatment.
Others may develop permanent ovarian damage and early menopause. The outcome depends on the treatment, the woman's age and her ovarian function before treatment. In de Armas' case, hormone therapy has brought on temporary menopause.
The transition can be more abrupt than natural menopause, leaving women with symptoms that affect daily life. Common effects include:
The National Cancer Institute notes that treatment-related ovarian insufficiency can also cause joint pain, reduced libido and difficulty concentrating.
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Menopause is often characterised symptoms like by hot flashes and night sweats. But for some women, the transition can also bring changes in mood, memory and concentration that may be harder to identify. These symptoms can affect everyday life and may be misconstrued as stress, ageing or the emotional effects of children leaving home.
On World Menopause Day 2026, Dr. Abha Majumdar, gynaecologist and one of the lead IVF specialists in the country, told HealthandMe that women and their families need to identify the least obvious symptoms of perimenopause, the transition leading up to menopause.
Empty nest syndrome refers to the feelings of grief, loneliness or loss of purpose that some parents experience when their children leave home to study, work or start their own families. The transition can bring changes to family routines and relationships, especially for parents who have spent years raising their children.
Dr Abha points out that mood changes in women during their 40s should not automatically be attributed to empty nest syndrome.
Perimenopause, the transition leading up to menopause, can also involve mood swings, forgetfulness and difficulty managing everyday tasks.
As she puts it, “Suddenly, around 45 or around that time, she starts feeling depressed. Everyone says, "Oh, children have grown up, you know, it is like an empty nest. But it is not just an empty nest.”
Recognising the symptom is key so that women experiencing new or persistent symptoms are not dismissed as simply struggling with their children leaving home, and can seek medical advice when needed.
Perimenopause can bring changes that don't relate to menstrual or hormonal cycle. Women may find themselves to be forgetful about routine things, struggle to concentrate or feel overwhelmed by tasks they previously managed with ease.
Dr Abha explains how these changes may appear in everyday life. She said, “She starts forgetting. She starts finding it difficult to cope with the daily chores which she did very easily before that.”
She says women may also face cognitive symptoms like brain fog and mood swings during this phase. She said, “Forgetfulness, cognition difficulties, brain fogging, mood swings.”
These symptoms can be confusing when women do not know that they come with menopausal transition. Changes in mood, for instance, may be misconstrued as reaction to family responsibilities, work stress or other pressures, while difficulties with memory and concentration may completely go unnoticed.
Also read: Menopause Abruptly Shifts Bones, Liver And Blood Fats, Study Finds
Perimenopause does not begin at the same age for everyone. Also, the transition may continue for several years before menopause sets in.
Dr Abha said that perimenopause may last for five or even 10 years before menopause sets in. She also said that fluctuating oestrogen levels are part of this phase.
“She's probably going through a perimenopause, which is it estrogen deprived and then comes up, goes down and comes up, and goes down and comes up. It may take couple of years for menopause to set in," she said.
Since the transition can be prolonged, understanding its symptoms is important for women as well as their families. Dr Abha explains that husbands and adult children should be attentive to changes in a woman's behaviour, mood or ability to manage familiar routines, rather than dismissing them.
She also stresses that women's health after menopause deserves attention, particularly as life expectancy increases.
She said, “Please support her at that time because she's got 25 years more to live right away. Maybe more.”
Mood changes, fatigue, sweating and memory difficulties should not automatically be attributed to menopause. Other health issues can produce similar symptoms, which makes medical attention important.
Dr Abha advises women to seek help whenever they notice a change that makes everyday activities more difficult.
She said, “Any point. If she feels something is happening to her, she's not being able to cope with her daily chores. She used to cook so effortlessly, now it takes a lot of effort. She starts getting tired, she sweats. That is the time. May it be 40, may it be 45, may it be 38 also.”
A doctor can assess menstrual cycle and determine whether symptoms are related to perimenopause or another condition. Dr Abha says investigations may also help identify other possible explanations, including vitamin deficiencies or thyroid problems.
“So, they can be sorted out. So don't avoid going to a doctor if you feel something is changing in your body. And what you were coping with earlier, you're not being able to cope with that.”
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