Is The Viral 'Quad-demic' Still Swirling? Know The Good, Bad And Ugly

Updated Feb 7, 2025 | 01:00 AM IST

SummaryFlu, COVID-19, RSV, and norovirus are spreading at high levels in the U.S., causing overlapping symptoms like fever, fatigue, and nausea. Are early testing and vaccination enough to preventing severe infections with overlapping symptoms?
Is The Viral 'Quad-demic' Still Swirling? Know The Good, Bad And Ugly

Image Credit: Health and me

There's been an alarming increase of respiratory and gastrointestinal viruses in the United States lately, causing anxiety about a so-called "quad-demic". According to surveillance reports, influenza, COVID-19, RSV and norovirus are at very high levels everywhere. While the surge aligns with patterns typical for this season, several epidemiologists view simultaneous infections of such proportions to pose risks not only to individual healthcare but public health.

The incidence of the quad-demic should vary with seasonal patterns, vaccination rates, and public health interventions. Each virus alone is relatively easy to manage; however, the effect of all together could lead to overburdening of health care facilities and increase risks for those at higher risk. Continuing surveillance, early testing, and proactive prevention measures will play an important role in the control of these infections going forward.

While the term "quad-demic" sounds daunting, it must be taken into perspective. For years, we have had all these viruses together, and we have the capabilities to mitigate some of the risk. Vaccination, proper hygiene and using common sense helps individuals get through the season unscathed. Is the quad-demic a permanent fixture or just another seasonal wave? Let's break this down.

What is the Quad-demic?

Typically, flu, COVID-19, and RSV have been the primary culprits behind seasonal respiratory infections. However, norovirus, a highly contagious stomach bug, has emerged as a fourth significant player, inducing fears of a more severe and widespread viral outbreak. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the U.S. recorded nearly 500 norovirus outbreaks between August and December 2023, a substantial rise from the previous year’s numbers.

While the term "quad-demic" may sound ominous, the seriousness and consequences of such infections should be weighed in light of the U.S. healthcare system's experience with managing viral surges since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

1. Influenza (Flu)

Flu continues to be one of the most common and alarming seasonal illnesses. In the period spanning from 2023 to 2024, there were approximately 40 million cases of flu, and thousands of hospitalizations along with reported 47 deaths have been reported this season. Flu symptoms include fever, chills, cough, sore throat, muscle pain, and fatigue, with most recovering within a week or two but risky factors for severe illness effects occur in young children, elderly, and people with chronic conditions.

2. Covid-19

Despite its reduction from the first pandemic peak, COVID-19 is still rampant. The CDC estimates that alone between October and December 2023, there were between 2.7 and 5 million cases in the U.S. Hospitalization has increased by cities such as Los Angeles, Chicago, and New York. Symptoms are closely similar to the flu, fever, cough, and fatigue but uniquely presents in some cases as loss of taste and smell.

3. RSV

RSV is the most common cause of lower respiratory infections in infants, older adults, and immunocompromised individuals. While RSV peaked late in 2023 and early 2024, it continues to be a threat because it can lead to bronchiolitis and pneumonia. It is very similar to the common cold, presenting with symptoms such as congestion, runny nose, coughing, and fever, which can make it difficult to differentiate from flu or COVID-19 without testing.

4. Norovirus

Norovirus, also called the "stomach flu," is a highly contagious infection of the gastrointestinal tract, not a respiratory virus. It transmits quickly from contaminated food and water and contact with contaminated surfaces, causing such symptoms as diarrhea, vomiting, nausea, and stomach pain. Cases have shot up, the CDC said Monday, with reports of outbreaks surging compared with last year.

Is There a Challenge In Diagnosis Due to Overlapping Symptoms?

The greatest challenge during the quad-demic is how the four viruses are alike and thus make identification very hard with no testing applied. Most cases present symptoms common to all viruses: fever, tiredness, body pains, and respiratory, which includes coughing and congestions for influenza, COVID-19, and RSV; the other would be norovirus symptoms as nausea and vomiting can appear even in extreme influenza and COVID-19. This overlap increases the risk of misdiagnosis and delayed treatment, hence the need for early testing and proper medical guidance.

Also Read: Is US Preparing For A Quad- demic 2025?

Effective Prevention Strategies That Work

The best defense against these viruses is a combination of vaccines, hygiene, and lifestyle precautions. While lifestyle modifications are highlighted as part of the constant need to eat healthy, ensure daily movement and drinking adequate amount of fluids. There is a sure short two preventive strategies that are effective:

Vaccination

  • Flu vaccine: Annual flu shots reduce the severity of infection, allergic flare ups and hospitalizations.
  • COVID-19 vaccine: Though COVID-19 cases have declined, vaccination remains critical in preventing severe outcomes.
  • RSV vaccine: Available for those aged 60 years and older, especially those with underlying conditions.
  • Norovirus vaccine: No vaccine is yet available, but mRNA vaccine research is in progress.

Hygiene and Sanitation

  • Washing hands frequently with soap and water for at least 20 seconds, especially after public exposure.
  • Disinfect frequently touched surfaces regularly, use sanitiser when outside.
  • Avoid close contact with infected people and wear masks.

Do You Need To Wear A Mask All The Time?

While debates on masked wear continue on, experts on mask-wear affirm that this does not only have a historical precedent but works towards reducing airborne viruses spreading within the environments. Hospitals, though, ensure masking in key sections of themselves. Publicized mask-wear remains a discretion, though massing indoors still goes a longer way in cases like peak flu seasons.

If you notice the symptoms of these viruses, then it's best to be confined at home and avoid having face-to-face interaction with others and seek immediate attention from your physician if your condition worsens. Quarantining for some days can decrease the spread of infection.

As we move into the first half of 2025 and beyond, staying informed and proactive is the best strategy for maintaining health and avoiding unnecessary panic. The key takeaway? Stay vigilant, but don’t be alarmed—these viruses are here, but so are the means to fight them.

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Meet REDMOD: An AI Model That Diagnoses Pancreatic Cancer Long Before Signs Appear

Updated May 1, 2026 | 10:00 PM IST

SummaryPancreatic cancer has a high mortality rate because it is usually diagnosed at an advanced stage.
Pancreatic cancer

The sooner REDMOD is implemented, the better for pancreatic cancer patients.

Pancreatic cancer is one of the most painful forms of tumour and is also likely to become the second-leading cause of cancer-related deaths in the US by 2030. This could be because 85 per cent of cancer cases in the US are not diagnosed until the disease has spread. Pancreatic cancer is a disease that is usually diagnosed at an advanced stage because there are no prominent early signs. However, a newly developed AI model from the Mayo Clinic and the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center could change that—a new CT scan-based system can help with the timely diagnosis of pancreatic cancer.

Can AI help with pancreatic cancer diagnosis?

REDMOD (radiomics-based early detection model) was tested on CT scans of patients who were later diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. Researchers found that in nearly three out of four cases, REDMOD successfully identified the most common form of pancreatic cancer 16 months before diagnosis. It nearly doubled the detection rate of specialists reviewing scans without AI assistance. In some cases, REDMOD recognised suspicious tissue patterns more than two years before diagnosis. Researchers said that the AI system can detect cancer up to three years in advance.

How does AI work for pancreatic cancer diagnosis?

Experts found that the greatest barrier to saving lives from pancreatic cancer was the inability to detect the tumour when it was still curable. AI can identify cancer signs from a normal-looking pancreas, and it can do so reliably across clinical settings. Researchers used 969 CT scans of the pancreas as training data for REDMOD to help it detect early-stage cancer signs.

Instead of looking for a prominent tumour, the model analysed radiomic patterns that disrupt tissue structure and texture—changes that are too subtle for the human eye to detect. Many cancers begin when normal cells acquire DNA mutations, which affect how cells divide and grow. However, it can take years before these changes develop into a tumour that produces symptoms or becomes clearly visible on a scan.

How accurate was REDMOD at diagnosing pancreatic cancer?

REDMOD was tested on a varied set of CT scans after training — 63 from patients who later developed cancer but were scanned before diagnosis, and 430 from healthy individuals. Out of the 63 cases, REDMOD flagged 46 as suspicious, resulting in a 73 per cent success rate. All these scans had previously been given the all-clear by radiologists who evaluated them at the same time as REDMOD.

Out of the 430 healthy individuals, 81 were identified as suspicious cases by REDMOD. This means that if AI were deployed in a real-world scenario, some individuals might be recommended for additional tests before receiving a final all-clear. A similar performance was observed in two other datasets from different hospitals using different equipment. For patients who had multiple scans available, AI produced consistent results, even when the scans were taken months apart.

Are there any drawbacks of REDMOD?

The sooner REDMOD is implemented in clinical practice, the earlier it can detect pancreatic cancer. It could identify tumours at a stage when treatment is still possible. This could significantly improve survival rates and reduce cancer-related mortality. However, researchers now aim to test the effectiveness of AI in larger and more diverse populations.

The research has been published in the Gut.

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Young, Fit, Still At Cancer Risk? Study Finds Why Youngsters Are Getting Tumours

Updated May 1, 2026 | 04:00 PM IST

SummaryEarlier, cancer risk was evident and prominent among older adults. However, youngsters, too, are now prone to developing tumours.
Cancer cases

Quitting smoking is one of the best ways to reduce cancer risk. (Photo credit: AI generated)

Eleven forms of cancer are becoming increasingly common among young people in England. Experts at the Institute of Cancer Research and Imperial College London stressed that cancer among younger people is still rare, and that everyone can reduce their risk by simply switching to a healthier lifestyle. However, why tumours have started to develop in people in their late teens, or in their 20s, 30s and 40s, remains unclear. The study further shows that the reasons behind rising cancer cases are elusive. However, this research does indicate a decade-long pattern of people becoming overweight.

Why does one develop cancer?

A team of scientists worked towards understanding why a person develops cancer. They examined national trends in lifestyle and cancer to identify patterns. Researchers found that cases of the following types of cancer were rising:

  1. Liver
  2. Kidney
  3. Thyroid
  4. Bowel
  5. Multiple myeloma
  6. Womb lining
  7. Mouth
  8. Ovarian
  9. Breast
  10. Gallbladder
  11. Pancreatic

Researchers found that breast and bowel cancers are common among younger adults, with 11,500 cases in a year, while gallbladder and pancreatic cancers were much rarer. It was also noted that ovarian and bowel cancers were exclusively being reported in young people, whereas the other nine were increasing in adults as well. The study by the Institute of Cancer Research and Imperial College London also analysed behavioural patterns known to raise cancer risk.

Researchers also found patterns related to alcohol intake, smoking levels, red and processed meat consumption, and diets low in fibre. These factors play a role in cancer development, but do not conclusively explain why cancer rates are increasing. Century-old tumour patterns, however, may explain why younger people are getting bowel cancer.

How to check for bowel cancer risk?

The report suggested that the only factors that align with an increased risk of cancer are obesity and being overweight, both of which have been on the rise since the 1990s. Extra fat tissue can alter hormones such as insulin, which can increase cancer risk. For instance, in the case of bowel cancer, for every 100 extra cases, 20 could be attributed to excess weight, while 80 remain unexplained. Researchers also note that it is important to prevent all cancers, not just the additional cases. It is estimated that nearly 40 per cent of cancers worldwide can be prevented through appropriate lifestyle choices, such as quitting smoking.

How to reduce cancer risk?

Quitting smoking and avoiding alcohol are among the simplest and most well-known ways of reducing cancer risk. However, experts say that other measures can also help. Maintaining a healthy body weight and staying physically active are simple ways to reduce cancer risk. Researchers also emphasise that while cancer rates are rising among younger people, the risk of tumours remains significantly higher in older age groups.

Researchers found that one in 1,000 people aged 20, 30 and 40 are diagnosed with cancer every year, compared to one in 100 among older age groups aged 50, 60 and 70. The search for other risk factors continues. Inflammation, sweetened drinks, gut bacteria, and air pollution must be addressed in time to reduce cancer risk. It is also being investigated whether improvements in cancer detection are contributing to earlier diagnoses in younger individuals.

The study’s findings are published in the BMJ Oncology.

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High-Income Countries May Eliminate Cervical Cancer By 2048: The Lancet

Updated May 1, 2026 | 07:00 PM IST

SummaryThe HPV vaccine is one of the best ways to prevent cervical cancer in the first place.
Cervical cancer

Administering the HPV vaccine can help prevent cervical cancer. (Photo credit: AI generated)

Cervical cancer is a slow-developing cancer that occurs in the lower part of the uterus. It is caused by a persistent HPV infection, which usually occurs in women in their prime. Some of the symptoms of cervical cancer include pelvic pain and abnormal bleeding. Experts say that timely detection through a Pap smear or prevention with an HPV vaccine can make a difference. However, according to a study published in The Lancet, high-income countries are on the right track to eliminate cervical cancer.

What causes cervical cancer?

The study published in The Lancet notes that high-income countries are on the right track towards cervical cancer prevention through vaccination and screening. By 2048, low- and middle-income countries will see only slight reductions over the next century. As a result, the gap between regions will likely widen dramatically. Experts have found that 99 per cent of cervical cancer cases are linked to infection with human papillomaviruses (HPV), a virus that is transmitted through sexual contact.

Preventing cervical cancer

Cervical cancer, according to experts, can be prevented through the HPV vaccine and regular screenings. The elimination target set by the World Health Organization is fewer than four cases per one lakh women. Every country, as per the WHO, must meet the ‘90-70-90’ targets by 2030. This means 90 per cent HPV vaccine coverage among girls by the age of 15, 70 per cent of women screened between the ages of 35 and 45, and 90 per cent of women with pre-cancer and cancer treated. This would be considered being on track for cervical cancer elimination in the coming century.

Researchers note that reaching the WHO targets for screening and vaccination, for HPV elimination, or for introducing universal vaccination with high coverage, is essential for the elimination of cervical cancer. This could help bridge global inequalities in disease management. Achieving the 90-70-90 goal can avert 37 million cancer cases by the next century, thereby accelerating progress in eliminating the disease. The model, however, suggests that most countries are unlikely to reach the target without increasing investments in this direction.

The research model

Researchers proposed five HPV-centric prevention strategies. Under a status quo model, cervical cancer incidence could decline by 23 per cent, consequently leading to inequalities in disease management. Experts found that achieving 90 per cent vaccination coverage in low- and middle-income countries would reduce inequalities and help eliminate cancer. Research authors also noted that recent advancements, such as single-dose vaccines at a lower cost, could accelerate cervical cancer elimination worldwide.

Global efforts from international agencies and governments are also important. A September 2022 study published in The Lancet Oncology found that a single-dose cervical cancer vaccine with lasting protection and 90 per cent coverage could prevent 78 per cent of cancer cases in India.

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